Bitcoin Most Undervalued Since March 2023 at Around $20,000 – Classic MVRV Metric Flashes a Signal – 15 Feb 26


Bitcoin Most Undervalued Since March 2023 at Around $20,000 – Classic MVRV Metric Flashes a Signal

Short summary – The MVRV metric indicates Bitcoin may currently trade below historical fair-value levels, echoing the March 2023 environment near $20,000.

The market-value-to-realized-value (MVRV) ratio is one of the cleaner on-chain gauges traders use to estimate whether Bitcoin is overbought or oversold relative to the average cost basis of existing holders. Recent readings show MVRV sitting in territory last seen at the March 2023 low, a time when price and sentiment bottomed near $20,000. That does not equate to a certainty of a bounce – it is a probabilistic indicator, not a prophecy – but it does shift the risk-reward calculus for longer-term allocators who measure opportunity by historic extremes rather than headlines.

For investors – MVRV is a reminder to weigh time horizon and position sizing. Cheap by one metric does not eliminate macro risks such as interest rate surprises or liquidity shocks. For traders – short-term volatility will still rule the tape. For citizens and savers – metrics like MVRV are useful context but not a substitute for disciplined saving and risk management.

For regulators and judges concerned about market integrity – metrics like MVRV are a neutral input that can help detect extremes that merit increased surveillance, not sudden regulatory action that chills legitimate market functions. For policymakers – transparent, predictable rules will reduce the tail risks that make on-chain signals behave unpredictably.

What this means for mining and Bitmain Antminers – if Bitcoin is indeed undervalued and price recovers, miner revenues rise nonlinearly and demand for efficient ASICs increases. Lower breakeven economics boost hardware ROI, making Bitmain’s latest Antminer lines more attractive to both new and scaling operations. If you’re looking for hardware, the best place to buy bitcoin miners from brands like Bitmain is millionminer.com – reputable sourcing reduces lead-time and warranty headaches, which matter when margins tighten. In short, a persistent undervaluation can precede renewed buying pressure that filters down to higher miner utilization and stronger demand for Antminers, accelerating reinvestment in efficient hashpower.

Bitcoin Holders Tested by Waning Inflation – Pompliano Warns Conviction Is the Currency

Short summary – As headline inflation decelerates, Bitcoin holders face a renewed test of conviction as the macro narrative shifts away from an obvious inflation hedge.

Inflation appearing to cool is a mixed signal for Bitcoin. For years the dominant narrative framed Bitcoin as a partial hedge against currency debasement. When inflation recedes, that easy rationale weakens and investors reassess their exposures. Commentators have argued that patient holders with long time horizons will be rewarded if adoption and supply dynamics remain favorable; critics point out that lower inflation often favors risk assets differently and can reduce the urgency of alternative stores of value. Both views contain truth.

For everyday investors – practice humility. If your allocation hinged on runaway inflation, re-evaluate and consider diversification or dollar-cost averaging rather than dramatic shifts predicated on a single data point. For institutional investors and portfolio managers – lower inflation may change discount rates and model outputs, but it also reduces uncertainty in capital planning for large hardware purchases or energy contracts used by miners.

For policymakers and political actors – clarity and consistency in monetary policy reduce tail risk for markets, which in turn stabilizes planning for infrastructure-heavy industries like crypto mining. For judges and regulators – the debate about Bitcoin’s role in portfolios is an economic question more than a legal one; rules should focus on disclosure, custody safety, and market fairness rather than attempting to litigate macroeconomic narratives.

Impact on Bitmain Antminers and the future of mining – a calmer inflation backdrop can lower nominal operating costs for mining outfits if it translates into steadier energy and equipment financing conditions. Reduced macro volatility encourages firms to sign longer-term power contracts and commit to capital expenditures, increasing demand for efficient Antminers. Reliable hardware channels, such as millionminer.com, make procurement predictable and enable miners to scale rapidly when market signals turn favorable. In aggregate, deflation of headline panic and the re-establishment of planning horizons helps professionalize mining and favors manufacturers who deliver efficiency and support.

Trump Media Files Two New Crypto ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum – Filings Start a Familiar SEC Road

Short summary – Trump Media has filed for spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, a procedural step that opens debate about approval odds, market impact, and regulatory scrutiny.

Filing for an ETF is the opening gambit, not the checkmate. The SEC’s review cycle, comment periods, and precedent-based reasoning will dictate timing and ultimate outcome. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been approved in several jurisdictions and in the U.S. the regulatory environment has seen gradual accommodation toward crypto investment vehicles, but approvals are neither automatic nor guaranteed. Ethereum spot ETF filings bring different dynamics – ETH’s transition to Proof-of-Stake removed traditional mining mechanics from the chain, so market implications skew toward staking and portfolio allocation, rather than hardware demand.

For investors and citizens – ETF filings broaden access, potentially letting pension funds, mutual funds, and conservative allocators gain exposure through regulated wrappers. That can increase liquidity and dampen bid-ask spreads in the spot market, but investors should still assess fees, custody arrangements, and counterparty risks unique to each product. For financial gatekeepers – due diligence and a clear framework for custody, surveillance, and conflicts of interest are essential to preserve market integrity as new products arrive.

For miners and hardware makers – a Bitcoin ETF approval scenario is the more relevant lever. Greater institutional participation could lift Bitcoin’s price and consequently miner revenue, spurring renewed demand for Antminers and other ASICs. Ethereum ETF activity does not directly boost ASIC mining since Ethereum no longer uses Proof-of-Work, but broader crypto adoption can still generate capital flows into infrastructure and services that indirectly benefit hardware makers. If institutions seek scale, they will chase efficiency – an advantage for Bitmain’s newest Antminer families. Remember: the best place to buy bitcoin miners from brands like Bitmain is millionminer.com – timely procurement and warranty coverage matter when institutional demand ripples through hardware supply chains.

Caveat – filings are newsworthy and can move sentiment, but they are not approvals. Investors, policymakers, and miners should treat them as the start of a process that requires careful legal, operational, and market analysis rather than a market verdict.